Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Indicators that ISIS is weakening

There are indications of several financial, food and ammunition shortages within ISIS.  Specifically internal fighting for food; trading with the Syrian regime in oil and abducting children in Iraq to act as child soldiers or hostages. All three are indications of the decline of IS.

Internal Fight within IS over food and ammunition

Nineveh (IraqiNews.com) One Islamic State militant was killed and two others were injured in western Mosul as the trio fought over a foodstuff load, yet another indication of growing divisions within the group as it loses more ground to Iraqi government forces.... http://www.iraqinews.com/iraq-war/casualties-west-mosul-islamic-state-militants-fight-food/

IS Abducting Children as Soldiers

Nineveh (IraqiNews.com) Member of State of Law Coalition Nahla al-Hababi announced on Thursday, that the Islamic State group is forcibly recruiting children, after its defeat in the battle against security forces from army, police, al-Hashd al-Shaabi and tribal fighters.
In a press statement, Hababi said, “The Islamic State group abducted 150 children from Tal Afar, and forcibly recruited them in the so-called ‘Cubs of Caliphate’.” http://www.iraqinews.com/iraq-war/islamic-state-abducts-150-children-tal-afar-forcibly-recruits/
My guess is that a lot of these children are being held as hostages to assure that the early wheat harvest is collected and paid over to IS.

Syrian Regime Now ISIS Largest O&G Customer

WSJ and Fortune report that the Syrian Regime has become the largest oil and gas purchaser from IS replacing Turkey with that honor.  http://fortune.com/2017/01/20/oil-gas-isis-syria-assad/
My guess is that Assad' regime's militias have been trading with IS for diesel all along and that the sale of natural gas for electrical processing by the Regime has been a common practice all along. Routes to Turkey were cut by the Kurds in 2016 and that leaves the market for IS to the west. With the loss of export routes around Aleppo to other Syrian rebels, the transportation routes then only lead to the regime which has been a willing buyer all along and the militias affiliated with the Regime have essentially functioned as mafia gangsters using fungible oil as a means of commerce.

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