Friday, July 03, 2015

Could India's Military Really Crush Pakistan? - The National Interest

... The Indian government has demonstrated an increased willingness to use force in an environment where headline grabbing increases in the Indian defense budget and a high-profile military modernization program are already alarming observers who worry that this could undermine the conventional military balance maintaining South Asia’s “ugly stability.” While on their face these concerns have validity, upon deeper examination, it is clear that, modernizing or not, the Indian military is capable of bringing far less force to bear in a limited conflict with Pakistan than most people realize. As a result, it is unlikely that Indian policymakers would conclude that they can either achieve strategic surprise against Pakistan necessary for a successful ground incursion or carry out highly-effective air strikes with little escalatory risk, each of which is a necessary condition for military operations to be authorized. Consequently, claims that India’s growing military power justifies Pakistan’s pursuit of tactical nuclear weapons, lack a firm foundation. South Asia remains an unstable region of the world, but the Indian military is not a source of that instability.
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/could-indias-military-really-crush-pakistan-13247

-bth: This is actually a very interesting article about the military balance between Pakistan and India.  It is worth a full read.

Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Test Pilot Admits the F-35 Can’t Dogfight - War is Boring

Here is a link to a 5 page report accessed by War is Boring which essentially says the F35 can't survive close air combat.

"...In the end, the F-35 — the only new fighter jet that America and most of its allies are developing — is demonstrably inferior in a dogfight with the F-16, which the U.S. Air Force first acquired in the late 1970s.
The test pilot explained that he has also flown 1980s-vintage F-15E fighter-bombers and found the F-35 to be “substantially inferior” to the older plane when it comes to managing energy in a close battle." https://medium.com/war-is-boring/test-pilot-admits-the-f-35-can-t-dogfight-cdb9d11a875

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Turkey to take 'necessary measures' on border security: PM Davutoglu - Reuters

Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said Turkey was prepared for all necessary measures to tackle security threats along its borders, highlighting Ankara's growing anxiety about conflict near its southern frontier in Syria.
The National Security Council, chaired by President Tayyip Erdogan, expressed concern about a threat of "terrorism" from the Syrian border as local media reported Ankara was considering military steps to counter security risks from Syria.
A statement from the council following its meeting also said Turkey was worried about demographic changes in the region, in an apparent reference to the displacement of Arab and Turkmen Syrians following fighting in recent weeks.... http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/29/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKCN0P90RG20150629

-bth: it will be interesting to see what happens here.  If both Jordan and Turkey start pressing down into Syria.  Kurds are definitely not going to like this as Turkey sat on the sidelines while Turkish ally ISIL went to town at Kurdish expense and now that the Kurds have begun to take back territory and especially trucking routes IS used to smuggle good back and forth to Turkey, the Turks are threatening to intervene.

Report: Jordan will set up buffer zone inside Syria - al Jazeera

....
According to the Financial Times, which reported the plan on Monday, Jordan intends to carve a buffer zone into a vast area that stretches across the contested southern provinces of Deraa and Suwayda, right up along Jordan’s northern border. The zone would apparently include the city of Deraa, where a pivotal battle has been playing out in recent weeks between the government of Bashar al-Assad and rebel forces, and could include a "militarized zone" to separate the buffer area from government forces.... http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2015/6/29/report-jordan-will-set-up-buffer-zone-inside-syria.html

-bth: more troubling will be whether Turkey moved to crush growing territorial gains by the Kurds.